For the past 13 months I have been sharing my sports betting tips and games on my Twitter page @shou_in. I am extremely grateful for the platform that Pickswise has allowed me now. I update my record on my Twitter bio daily and am more than willing to answer any questions or provide assistance via direct message.
Read below to see the props I’m looking at in Thursday’s MLB draft.
Sonny Gray (MIN) shots under 4.5 (-128)
Odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publication can be played as low as -140.
The Toronto Blue Jays offense is absolutely red-hot against right-handed hitters. In the last 30 days against righties, Toronto is hitting .301 which makes them the best in baseball. They are 4th in OBP, SLG and wOBA and have a wRC+ of 127. They also have the 9th lowest K% in that span against right-handed pitchers with a 20.9% mark. 15 of the last 18 right-handed starters to face Toronto have been held under this 4.5 line, including one game in which they reached Zack Wheeler.
Sonny Gray is someone I’m a fan of, but his offensive production just isn’t there this season. The 32-year-old has just a 17th-percent slugging percentage this year and a 34th-percent follow-up percentage. Even when shots do follow against Gray, they connect 6.3% more than average. He has performed worse at home this season than last, with a 3.96 ERA, .257 OBA and 1.35 WHIP. He has also been worse in night games with a 4.70 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.34 WHIP. Gray made 5 starts in July and posted a 5.92 ERA while failing to make it past 5 innings in 4 of 5 starts. On the season Sonny averaged 16.99 pitches per strike. In July he averaged just 82.2 pitches per start and now draws his toughest opponent of the bunch. Gray has gone under that line in 8 of his 15 starts this season, including 6 of his last 9.
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