Demography will decide the history of the world within the next decades. 2045 is the year in which, as the US Census Bureau projects, whites will become a minority in their country.
The same trend is observed in Europe.
In the 1980s, these continents began to transform from relatively monolithic societies to multiethnic or multicultural societies, which resulted in the rapid growth of the Latino population in the US and the influx of immigrants from Africa and Asia to Europe.
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Academia and the ruling establishment believed that the various ethnic groups arriving in Europe and the US would blend into indigenous communities and disintegrate within a generation or two, adopting superior Western values and norms because these are supposedly universal.
The growth of the native European population will soon reach its peak and the reverse trend, already visible in Russia and Poland, will begin.
The population of the Netherlands and Germany is expanding only because of the increase in the number of second generation non-Western immigrants.
European ethnic composition will never (historically speaking) resemble that of Brazil or India.
The unprecedented rise of the National Front, riots in the Banlieue, the first Turkish party in the Dutch parliament, Islamic-led terrorism and the Black Lives Matter movement.
The endless debates in the Western media between opponents and supporters of multiculturalism, whites and non-whites, Islamists and Christians, are only a few parts of the bigger picture, and we expect much more to come.
Significant demographic changes are by no means limited to Europe.
The population of Africa, which is likely to continue growing at its current unprecedented rate until 2100, is already surpassing that of Europe, and the population of India will exceed that of China, which will be in its peak in 2030.
In 2100, Africa will account for 40% of the world’s population, while contributing almost nothing to the world’s GDP.
Far more people will live in Africa and South Asia than in Europe and North America.
A neoliberal economist’s take on this phenomenon is that we are all the same, replaceable human beings, regardless of race, heritage or religion.
There is therefore no reason to believe that Africans should not be as productive as the Japanese and as efficient as the Germans.
If so, then the declining populations of Europe, Japan, the US and China will be compensated by the young, energetic, vibrant men and women of Africa who, they say, will take over and manage with success engine of growth in the world.
A cursory look at the state of those American cities with an African-American majority, Haiti or African countries, does not raise such high hopes, so our team has a different view.
The recorded history of sub-Saharan Africa began about a hundred years ago, side by side with the beginning of European colonization,
This shows that even African historical consciousness has been shaped by Europeans, to say nothing of the continent’s economy, which depends on technical and financial support from Europe and China.
The impending shift in demographics will create ethnic tensions and profoundly affect the world economy at large.
With information from Gefira
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