The latest polls show the gap between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT, left) and Jair Bolsonaro (PL, right) fluctuating between 0.8 and 8 percentage points a day before the second round of voting.
The election will be held on Sunday (October 30).
Paraná Pesquisas established the narrowest lead in a poll conducted from October 26-28. In the survey, the politician appears with 50.4% of valid votes against 49.6% of the current head of government.
The tally of valid votes includes only the targets assigned to a candidate, not blank and invalid votes. The TSE (High Electoral Court) will publish the results.
The most significant difference was found by Ipec (formerly Ibope). According to the poll conducted from October 22 to 24, Lula reached 54% of the valid votes, while Bolsonaro got 46%.
The PowerData poll, conducted from October 23-25, shows the former president leading the race for presidential succession with 53 percent of valid votes.
Bolsonaro has 47 percent. These figures were also found in recent surveys conducted by Atlas, Ipespe and Quaest.
PowerData has the highest frequency in the current election cycle. It has been held every 15 days since 2021. In 2022, since the end of August, it is offered every week.
To understand how the PoderData survey is conducted, click here.
Poder360 has compiled the latest polls registered at the TSE (High Electoral Tribunal). They considered studies whose methodology was reliable and for which it was possible to verify the origin of the information using the available integrals.
Ipec: 3.008, 2 pp, 95%, 22 to 24 October 2022, BR-06043/2022;
MDA/CNT: 2.002, 2.2 p., 14 to 16 October 2022, BR-05514/2022;
Genial/Quaest: 2,000, 2 p., 95%, October 23-25, 2022, BR-00470/2022;
Ipespe: 1,100, 3 pp, 95.5%, October 22-24, 2022, BR-08044/2022;
Data Sheet: 4,592, 2 pgs, 95%, October 21-25,2022, BR-04208/2022;
AtlasIntel: 4,500, 1pp, 95%, October 18-22,2022, BR-06415/2022;
Search in Paraná: 2,000, 2.0 p., 95%, October 26-28, 2022, BR-09573/2022;
PoderData: 5000, 1.5 p., 95%, 23-10-25/2022, BR-01159/2022.
With information from Poder360
