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Read below to see the props I’m looking at in Thursday’s MLB draft.
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Anibal Sanchez (WAS) under 15.5 losses recorded (-130)
Odds are available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publication. Up to -140 odds can be played.
This is a very tough spot for Washington Nationals starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez. The 38-year-old righty just faced this Padres lineup in his last start and now he’s being asked to face them again just 5 days later. San Diego got to Sanchez in that game as he went 5 innings with 6 hits, 3 walks, 2 home runs and 3 earned runs allowed. Sanchez has now made just 6 starts on the season, going under that 15.5 line in 5 of them. The veteran journeyman has allowed at least 3 earned runs in every start. He struggles to strike out batters with just a 16.3% K% and he walks batters at a 10.4% clip. Sanchez allows 11.7% more fly balls than the league average, allows a solid league-average double contact%, and has an 8.2% barrel rate.
Sanchez throws first pitch strikes 4.4% less than league average and is in the zone with his pitches 5% less than average. The Padres have the 9th lowest strikeout rate this season. Those numbers are improving with disciplined bats in Juan Soto and Josh Bell now in the lineup. Sanchez is averaging 4.27 pitches per strikeout which would rank 3rd worst in MLB if he were eligible. San Diego is averaging the 5th most pitches per PA as a team this season. In the last 30 days against right-handed hitters, the Padres have been on fire. During this span they rank 3rd in wOBA, 5th in ISO, 4th in OPS and 2nd in BB%. Their 127 wRC+ also ranks third best.
Of the last 19 right-handed starters to face San Diego, 16 of them have been held to 5 or fewer IP. The Nationals have gotten 6 IP from 3 consecutive starters for the first time in what seems like an entire season. The Roosters are about as rested as they get, and Washington shouldn’t need to stretch Sanchez much longer tonight.
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